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Critical Analysis of Status of Counter-Terrorism Strategies in Manda, Lamu County, Kenya: A Multifaceted Examination of HUMINT and SIGINT

Received: 10 June 2024     Accepted: 3 July 2024     Published: 23 July 2024
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Abstract

This paper presents a critical analysis of counter-terrorism strategies in Kenya, with a specific focus on the multifaceted examination of Human Intelligence (HUMINT) and Signals Intelligence (SIGINT). The study employed a sequential explanatory mixed-methods research design integrates both qualitative and quantitative approaches to provide a thorough understanding of Kenya's efforts to combat terrorism. The target population of this study encompassed participants involved in counter-terrorism activities in Kenya. This included officers in security agencies such as the National Intelligence Service and the Kenya Defense Forces which formed our target population. A total of 93 officers participated. The respondents were drawn through purposive sampling. By addressing multiple levels of involvement, the paper provides a holistic view of counter-terrorism strategies and their impact. Quantitative data was collected through surveys administered to a representative sample of security personnel in the NIS and KDF. Qualitative data on the other hand was collected through interviews. Semi-structured interviews were done with key informants, such as heads of the National Intelligence Service and Kenya Defense Forces helped capture the nuanced perspectives on HUMINT and SIGINT. STATA and Statistical Package for Social Scences (SPSS) Software were used to analyze quantitative data from the survey. The statistical significance between the average expectations and average perceptions in both security agencies was analyzed using two-sample t-tests. Additionally, the significance of the gaps between the agencies was assessed with Hotelling’s T-squared test at a 5% significance level. Pearson’s correlation coefficients were also used to determine the strength and direction of the relationship between the independent variable (s) and the dependent variable. The study generally found that the indicators of the HUMINT strategy were effective in countering terrorism except for source penetration. Further, the study determined that all indicators of SIGINT strategy were ineffective in countering terrorism except for interception of communication and timely warnings.

Published in Humanities and Social Sciences (Volume 12, Issue 4)
DOI 10.11648/j.hss.20241204.12
Page(s) 80-90
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Counterterrorism, Human Intelligence (HUMINT), Signals Intelligence (SIGINT)

References
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[2] Aid, M. M. (2003). All glory is fleeting: Sigint and the fight against international terrorism. Intelligence and National Security, 18(4), 72-120.
[3] Badiru, A. B., & Maloney, A. E. (2016). A conceptual framework for the application of systems approach to intelligence operations: Using HUMINT to augment SIGINT. American Intelligence Journal, 33(2), 41-46.
[4] Ball, D., & Tanter, R. (2015). US signal intelligence (SIGINT) activities in Japan 1945-2015: A Visual Guide. Nautilus Institute NAPS Net Special Report, December, 22.
[5] Bwana, R. (2023). Inside the National Intelligence Service: A Closer Look at Kenya’s Security Apparatus. Available at SSRN 4454565.
[6] Falode, A. J., & Faseke, B. O. (2023). The Art of the Impossible: Intelligence and Nigeria’s Boko Haram War, 2010–2021. International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence, 36(4), 1319-1336.
[7] Johnson, L. (2010). Evaluating “Humint”: The role of foreign agents in US security. Comparative Strategy, 29(4), 308-332.
[8] Kamiński, M. A. (2019). Intelligence Sources in the Process of Collection of Information by the US Intelligence Community. Security Dimensions. International and National Studies, (32), 82-105.
[9] Margolis, G. (2013). The lack of HUMINT: A recurring intelligence problem. Global Security Studies, 4(2), 43-60.
[10] Mwangi, S. W., & Wasonga, J. (2020). Assessing The Effectiveness Of Intelligence Gathering And Sharing (IGS) In Countering Violent Extremism (CVE) In Kenya. International Journal of Innovative Research and Advanced Studies (IJIRAS), 7(1), 149-156.
[11] Nwagboso, C. I., & Nwagboso, N. S. (2021). The Challenges of Intelligence Gathering in the Third World-A Critique of the Nexus between Poverty and Public Policy Process. International Journal of Public Administration and Management Research, 6(2), 55-71.
[12] Oche, O. (2014). Information, Intelligence and Security: Overview of the Current Security Situation in Nigeria. African Journal of International Affairs & Development, 17(2), 7.
[13] Rosenau, W. (2005). Al Qaida recruitment trends in Kenya and Tanzania. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 28(1), 1-10.
[14] Stottlemyre, S. A. (2015). HUMINT, OSINT, or something new? Defining crowdsourced intelligence. International Journal of Intelligence and Counter-Intelligence, 28(3), 578-589.
[15] Tobia, S. (2014). Interrogation, interviewing and questioning in the twentieth century. Interrogation in War and Conflict: A Comparative and Interdisciplinary Analysis, 268.
[16] Weinbaum, C., Berner, S., & McClintock, B. (2017). SIGINT for Anyone. The Growing Availability of Signals Intelligence in the Public Domain, RAND Corp., Santa Monica.
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  • APA Style

    Ogutu, K. O., Nyagwara, F. O. (2024). Critical Analysis of Status of Counter-Terrorism Strategies in Manda, Lamu County, Kenya: A Multifaceted Examination of HUMINT and SIGINT. Humanities and Social Sciences, 12(4), 80-90. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.hss.20241204.12

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    ACS Style

    Ogutu, K. O.; Nyagwara, F. O. Critical Analysis of Status of Counter-Terrorism Strategies in Manda, Lamu County, Kenya: A Multifaceted Examination of HUMINT and SIGINT. Humanit. Soc. Sci. 2024, 12(4), 80-90. doi: 10.11648/j.hss.20241204.12

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    AMA Style

    Ogutu KO, Nyagwara FO. Critical Analysis of Status of Counter-Terrorism Strategies in Manda, Lamu County, Kenya: A Multifaceted Examination of HUMINT and SIGINT. Humanit Soc Sci. 2024;12(4):80-90. doi: 10.11648/j.hss.20241204.12

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  • @article{10.11648/j.hss.20241204.12,
      author = {Kennedy Obumba Ogutu and Fredrick Okeyo Nyagwara},
      title = {Critical Analysis of Status of Counter-Terrorism Strategies in Manda, Lamu County, Kenya: A Multifaceted Examination of HUMINT and SIGINT
    },
      journal = {Humanities and Social Sciences},
      volume = {12},
      number = {4},
      pages = {80-90},
      doi = {10.11648/j.hss.20241204.12},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.hss.20241204.12},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.hss.20241204.12},
      abstract = {This paper presents a critical analysis of counter-terrorism strategies in Kenya, with a specific focus on the multifaceted examination of Human Intelligence (HUMINT) and Signals Intelligence (SIGINT). The study employed a sequential explanatory mixed-methods research design integrates both qualitative and quantitative approaches to provide a thorough understanding of Kenya's efforts to combat terrorism. The target population of this study encompassed participants involved in counter-terrorism activities in Kenya. This included officers in security agencies such as the National Intelligence Service and the Kenya Defense Forces which formed our target population. A total of 93 officers participated. The respondents were drawn through purposive sampling. By addressing multiple levels of involvement, the paper provides a holistic view of counter-terrorism strategies and their impact. Quantitative data was collected through surveys administered to a representative sample of security personnel in the NIS and KDF. Qualitative data on the other hand was collected through interviews. Semi-structured interviews were done with key informants, such as heads of the National Intelligence Service and Kenya Defense Forces helped capture the nuanced perspectives on HUMINT and SIGINT. STATA and Statistical Package for Social Scences (SPSS) Software were used to analyze quantitative data from the survey. The statistical significance between the average expectations and average perceptions in both security agencies was analyzed using two-sample t-tests. Additionally, the significance of the gaps between the agencies was assessed with Hotelling’s T-squared test at a 5% significance level. Pearson’s correlation coefficients were also used to determine the strength and direction of the relationship between the independent variable (s) and the dependent variable. The study generally found that the indicators of the HUMINT strategy were effective in countering terrorism except for source penetration. Further, the study determined that all indicators of SIGINT strategy were ineffective in countering terrorism except for interception of communication and timely warnings.
    },
     year = {2024}
    }
    

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    AB  - This paper presents a critical analysis of counter-terrorism strategies in Kenya, with a specific focus on the multifaceted examination of Human Intelligence (HUMINT) and Signals Intelligence (SIGINT). The study employed a sequential explanatory mixed-methods research design integrates both qualitative and quantitative approaches to provide a thorough understanding of Kenya's efforts to combat terrorism. The target population of this study encompassed participants involved in counter-terrorism activities in Kenya. This included officers in security agencies such as the National Intelligence Service and the Kenya Defense Forces which formed our target population. A total of 93 officers participated. The respondents were drawn through purposive sampling. By addressing multiple levels of involvement, the paper provides a holistic view of counter-terrorism strategies and their impact. Quantitative data was collected through surveys administered to a representative sample of security personnel in the NIS and KDF. Qualitative data on the other hand was collected through interviews. Semi-structured interviews were done with key informants, such as heads of the National Intelligence Service and Kenya Defense Forces helped capture the nuanced perspectives on HUMINT and SIGINT. STATA and Statistical Package for Social Scences (SPSS) Software were used to analyze quantitative data from the survey. The statistical significance between the average expectations and average perceptions in both security agencies was analyzed using two-sample t-tests. Additionally, the significance of the gaps between the agencies was assessed with Hotelling’s T-squared test at a 5% significance level. Pearson’s correlation coefficients were also used to determine the strength and direction of the relationship between the independent variable (s) and the dependent variable. The study generally found that the indicators of the HUMINT strategy were effective in countering terrorism except for source penetration. Further, the study determined that all indicators of SIGINT strategy were ineffective in countering terrorism except for interception of communication and timely warnings.
    
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